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Sunday, June 9, 2019

[转贴] 浅谈刚上市不久的Leong Hup International (6633)

浅谈刚上市不久的Leong Hup International (6633)

在LCTITAN 以后,今年上市市值最大就非LHI 莫属了,但是这家公司是否会步LCTITAN 的后尘,跌破超过50% 的IPO 价格呢?

现在LHI 的价格不断上上下下浮动,卡在 RM 1.03 - RM 1.06 之间,那么近期他的股价走势到底会是怎样呢?




首先,我们需要知道这家公司IPO 后的30天内是有Stabilizing Manager 护航的。Stabilizing Manager 跟他的名字一样,就是要stabilize 股价,一些有看到LHI 招股书的读者应该会看”greenshoe“ 这个东西,基本上就是”greenshoe“ 允许Stabilizing Manager 购买高达15% LHI 在 IPO 里面发的股,来稳定价格。



那么,这个"SM" 是谁我就不多作评论了,我们直接看一下到底Stabilizing Manager 自Leong Hup IPO 以来到底”稳定“了多少股?

16 May 2019 (上市日)- 5,000,000 股
17 May 2019 - 4,000,000 股
21 May 2019 - 10,421,600 股
23 May 2019 - 25,398,600 股
24 May 2019 - 9,000,000 股
27 May 2019 - 3,000,000 股
28 May 2019 - 100,000 股
29 May 2019 - 3,171,800 股
30 May 2019 - 4,974,600 股
31 May 2019 - 4,028,100 股
3 June 2019 - 3,688,500 股
7 June 2019 - 1,540,900 股

合计:74,324,100 股

如果没有他们护盘,LHI 会不会有跌破RM 1 的命运呢?别的不说,下下个星期Stabilizing action 就会结束了,过后LHI 会怎样呢?

别的不好说,但是这样下去如果散户没有hold 超过25% 公司的股份的话,还会触犯上市条例(LCTITAN 目前就有这个问题),那么,这又会不会带来巨大的卖压?

投资者的心情,我们是无法预测的,就如牛顿大神说的:”我可以计算行星的运动,但我无法计算人的疯狂“。在这里应该是散户的疯狂。虽然说Corn 价格下跌,LHI 成本会更低,是一个利好因素,但是散户会不会理这个就很难说了,加上这个行业P/E 15.8 实在不算便宜了。

你,又怎么看?留言大家吹水一下

原文:https://www.facebook.com/12invest.my/posts/359482241374070

#LHI
#CORNPRICE
#STABILIZINGMANAGER
#12INVEST

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